Here’s Why Michelle Obama Led A Presidential Poll–And Why She Won’t Replace Biden

A former First Lady Michelle Obama has repeatedly turned towards the possibility that she could run for the presidency in spite of a poll suggesting she could beat ex-president Donald Trump in a head-to-head contest.

By Brian Bushard

Jul 03, 2024 04:59 PM

Topline

A recent survey indicated that a majority of voters are in favor of a presidential run by the former First Lady Michelle Obama, even though she’s repeatedly rejected the idea of running, according to experts, and as an increasing number of Democrats insist on President Joe Biden to drop out of the race following his embarrassing performance at the debate last week.

Key Facts

Obama was the spouse of former president Barack Obama, was the only Democratto beat ex-president Donald Trump in a hypothetical November match, as per an Ipsos/Reuters poll announced on Tuesday. Obama was the only one to win. Obama had a great time beating Trump 50 percent and 39 per cent.

Biden is trapped in a 40-40 % deadlock against Trump in the Ipsos poll. Vice President Kamala Harris trailed Trump 43%-42 percent. California Gov. Gavin Newsom trailed 42%-39 percent. Michigan Governor. Gretchen Whitmer was well further behind Trump who had 41% against 36 percent.

Michelle Obama has maintained an enviable rating with voters for over ten years. The Quinnipiac University poll discovered that over three-quarters of voters were satisfied with her which was more than the percentage of her husband during the initial period during his term as president (56.5 percentage) and higher than the previous president Bill Clinton (59.2%).

In spite of Obama’s presidency as a part of the White House, her role as a defender of healthier eating habits and for fighting against inequality in wealth, as the well-known work “Becoming,” the former first lady has repeatedly repeatedly rejected the idea of a presidential run and stated in a blunt manner after the end of two years of her husband’s term, she stated: “No, nope, I’m not running. “

She raised her position in regards to her position against running for president in the next season, soliciting the voters to choose Biden instead, even though an organization that that was established to endorse Obama as Biden’s vice-president choice.

The idea of a Michelle Obama presidential run–and a possible Biden-Michelle Obama ticket–swells in March as CNN commentator Alisyn Camerota suggested possible possibilities of an Obama vice-presidential contender and a range of media sources have reported that Democrats offered hints of a Michelle Obama campaign amid concerns concerning Biden’s declining age following the report by special counsel Robert Hur stating that Biden was an “elderly man with a poor memory” (Obama has rejected any suggestions for a presidential bid in a letter an email to NBC News).

Get Forbes Breaking News Text Alerts We’re making alerts available via texts to let you be informed of the latest news stories that are making the news for each day. Simply text “Alerts” to (201) 335-0739 or sign-up here.

Surprising Fact

Despite Obama frequently saying she’s not keen on a presidential bid but some bettors don’t believe. Platform for betting Polymarket has odds that she has the possibility of becoming the 2024’s Democratic presidential candidate at 6 percentwhich is higher than the numbers comparable in California governor. Gavin Newsom has odds of 5 according to the view that of Polymarket.

Key Background

Biden has been the subject of concerns about his health deterioration throughout his tenure. He also been the subject critique from Trump who has often criticized Biden’s work despite his apparent declining physical and mental capacity, and often ridiculed Biden’s mistakes. But, Biden’s aging was a major concern with Democrats in the CNN debate on Thursday, in which the 81-year-old appeared to be struggling to stay on the right track with his answers, frequently speaking out of breath and speaking in a soft, hoarse voice. At a rally one day later, Biden admitted that he is unable to “debate in the same way” like he did in the past, however he vowed to remain in the race despite the increasing calls from Democratic media and politicians for Biden to step down. Biden was also reportedly confessed to privately that he may be forced out if the interview fails scheduled later on ABC News’ George Stephanopoulos, The New York Times reported. Biden’s administration has denied the news report. Biden administration has ruled out the claim as being real. Two Democratic lawmakers from Congress -two of them – Rep. Lloyd Doggett, D-Texas, and Rep. Raul Grijalva, D-Ariz.–have demanded Biden to resign his campaign and editors of reputable newspapers like The New York Times and Chicago Tribune have also said Biden should halt his 2024 presidential campaign.

Tangent

The debate following the CNN/SRRS survey showed that Harris is behind Trump by 47%-45 per cent, more than Biden (six-point gap to Trump), Whitmer (five-point deficit), Newsom (five-point deficit) and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg (four-point deficit). According to the FiveThirtyEight’s weighted average of polls gives Biden in the lead by two percentage points in comparison against Trump (41.9 percent versus 39.8 percent) in the event of a possible election rematch, but the possibility of an eventual Harris campaign could also create challenges to Democrats. Harris’ approval rating is a dismal 37.5 percent, as reported by FiveThirtyEight which is just marginally more over Biden (37.2 percent). ).

Further Reading

ForbesHere’s Who Is Calling On Joe Biden To Drop Out-A Democratic Lawmaker, Pundits And A Former StafferBy Sara Dorn

ForbesHere’s How Biden’s Billionaire Supporters Are Reacting To Shaky Debate-Cuban Open To Replacing Biden As Hoffman Urges CalmBy Brian Bushard