Thursday Night Football Packers vs Eagles preview of bets (odds lines, the best bets)
Examining betting strategies in Week 1 on the Friday Night Football matchup between the Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles.
By Mason Cameron
Sep 06, 2024 09:00 AM
* WR A.J. Brown , Philadelphia Eagles -Over 5.5 receptions: In the last season, Brown saw eight or more targets in 13 of his 16 games which allowed him to exceed the mark 11 times.
* Quarterback Jalen Hurts, Philadelphia Eagles — – 37.5 yards of running: Saquon Barkley should handle most of the running. This will likely be in the form of a few of Hurts routes for running which he’s designed.
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Expected reading Time3 minutes
Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles (-3) [Total: 48.5]
Game Overview
Sao Paulo in Brazil hosts the first NFC game of the 2024 season. There are two teams looking to make winning the playoffs. The rare Friday night match is expected to be a tense affair. Both Philadelphia (seventh) in addition to Green Bay (ninth) and Green Bay (ninth) place in the top 10 of the PFF’s Power Rankings and both effectively start the 2024 season with the possibility of a road trip.
Jordan Love‘s Packers start the season in good form after a remarkable stretch of 2023 when the team win its first postseason game of the Love period, beating teams like the Cowboys by a score of Dallas 48 32. Green Bay seems to have found another top athlete in Love who has topped his team’s PFF scoring (89.1) from Week 7 until the level of.
Although Love’s weapons may not be in a position to jump off the field, they can improve the game in his vicinity. This is an encouraging signal for the newest athlete to make the offensive in the backfield Josh Jacobs, who’s presence will aid in opening up areas of coverage if Jacobs is able to come back to the 2022 level which led to the league’s top 91.9 PFF score for rushing.
The Eagles are determined to get the ship back in shape following a dip in performance the previous season. Even though they had a disappointing last season, the director of the team Howie Roseman has been working during his offseason, trying to bridge in the holes in this team. The robbery of friend of a former player Saquon Barkley to spotlight the backfield as well as the signing with Jahan Dotson to boost the already formidable receiving team are the most notable of his offseason actions.
The expansion didn’t stop at the offense but there was a lot more to be added. Roseman was also seeking to fill the voids in his secondary draft, signing cornerstack Quinyon Mitchell during the initial round. But the most sexiest aspect is Philly’s defense is the Philly defense is an explosive pass rush that is led by interior rusher second year Jalen Carter, a the former Jets edge rusher, who knocked his way out Bryce Huff.
WR A.J. Brown , Philadelphia Eagles : Over 5.5 Receptions (-124) — 0.6% PFF Greenline Edge
There is no doubt it is a fact that A.J. Brown is among the best receivers in the league from the outside, which puts him in the top tier of players at all receiver positions. Brown is also the quarterback Jalen Hurt’s most sought-after target and he is carrying an enormous workload due to this. In the previous campaign, Brown saw eight or more targets in 13 of his 16 games. This permitted him to break the mark eleven times.
The All-Pro receiver is more than an excellent target in this offense and defensive game. He has a threat rate of more than 7 percentage points higher that the typical Eagle and is thought of as one of the NFL’s best receivers throughout, but particularly during the final stages of downs, when his position was ranked 5th in players in the NFL.
Brown is among the most difficult receivers. He is adept at making the controversial grabs at a phenomenal amount. He put 14 grabs that were challenged and contested, which ranks 10th in the number of grabs for his position.
Once Hurts finds Brown the fun begins.
QB Jalen Hurts , Philadelphia Eagles : Under 37.5 Rushing Yards (-117) — 1.3% PFF Greenline Edge
It may seem odd to decrease the total of a dual threat quarterback’s running speed, especially for a player who has the same abilities as Jalen Hurts, however the line isn’t the best and the numbers seem to support this.
Despite having at least 150 attempts during the previous season, and scoring a 76.7 PFF score for rushing, Hurts was able to beat the total rushing yards in the shortest time span of four games that he played. More than 26 percent of his rushing resulted from sneaks by the quarterback.
Additionally, Saquon Barkley may be able to handle a substantial part of the groundwork and is likely to do it at the expense of a few of Hurts scheduled runs. It’s also harder to imagine Hurts overtaking this number.
